“In retrospect, all revolutions seem inevitable. Beforehand, all revolutions seem impossible.” Michael McFaul wrote this about nations, but it is true in technology as well. This is exactly what is playing out in the quartz timing industry.
The quartz timing industry is now seeing a revolution that they thought was impossible. Even a few years ago most industry insiders said it could not happen. Now I don’t hear that anymore. They all know that change is coming. Change happens all around us – film cameras moved to silicon, disk storage is moving to silicon – there is a long list and quartz is on it.
Now some leaders in the industry speak with a sense of wishing it were not so, or hoping that it would progress more slowly. Some speak with a sense of riding through it or holding tough. But from the few more capable leaders one hears a determination to move forward and transition their businesses with the technology. That is the right thing to do, but it is difficult.
When folks look back on the change from quartz to silicon timing they will say it was inevitable.